According to RealClearPolitics.com, both Barbara Boxer and Jerry Brown enjoy healthy leads of at least five points over their opponents. This is a particularly good sign for Barbara Boxer as she begins to edge closer to that 50% marker however, I do believe that this shows that Jerry Brown is still very much at risk as the two elections are entirely different.
The Case for Boxer
First, Barbara Boxer does not face "Moneybag Meg." Carly Fiorina while wealthy does not have millions of dollars of extra cash to dedicate to this campaign. Also, Carly has also come out as an ultra conservative which is not going to bode well in this very blue state. Republicans continue to hurt their own chances in state-wide federal races by nominating right wing candidates. Not complaining here, I'll take it!
The Challenge for Brown
Brown is currently enjoying around the same lead that Boxer is however, Meg Whitman remains an extremely dangerous candidate purely because of her financial resources.
First, Whitman has already poured in millions to fund her campaign and will continue to do so in an attempt to outspend labor unions and the influence of the Democratic Party. Since the June primaries, Meg has already unveiled two Spanish-language television commercials targeting Latino voters while Brown has been focusing on fundraising and a few speaking engagements.
Obviously Brown has to compensate for the financial disadvantage but he can't forget that he has the responsibility of motivating the Democratic base as the leader of the Democratic ticket. His name isn't as valuable as it once was. Now is not the time for zen brown now is the time to turn up the heat and get Californian's excited about voting blue! If he fails to do this soon it is my fear that Whitman will seize the momentum and drown Brown and the Democratic ticket with a lot of cash.
Brown you are good for now but it's time to kick it up a notch!
For more on this I suggest you read today's LA Times Article "Brown's frugal campaign may be too little, too late" which I think summed it up pretty well.
Glad to see you branching out. Looking forward for more to come.
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